Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 12.516484 14.391494 16.391134 18.675746 21.206821 23.918236 27.035487
2025-02-09 10.048209 12.494914 15.262297 18.601498 22.497673 26.876064 32.143266
2025-02-16 7.981092 10.642622 13.812492 17.820115 22.702582 28.407360 35.522765
2025-02-23 6.695984 9.500038 12.993976 17.591181 23.398082 30.403538 39.399816
2025-03-02 5.611482 8.444966 12.128522 17.156430 23.717997 31.861912 42.590499
2025-03-09 4.837061 7.688910 11.543270 16.980895 24.284879 33.577387 46.090883
2025-03-16 4.122757 6.920380 10.848822 16.570638 24.470294 34.756913 48.894390
2025-03-23 3.676389 6.480926 10.555229 16.657394 25.283960 36.741683 52.761712
2025-03-30 3.254870 6.025527 10.188053 16.593911 25.858033 38.396118 56.212746
2025-04-06 2.955753 5.725115 10.015565 16.782030 26.768015 40.509267 60.314247
2025-04-13 2.691411 5.449093 9.850537 16.956467 27.646235 42.586354 64.404729
2025-04-20 2.521432 5.312161 9.885955 17.423700 28.953683 45.285765 69.407853
2025-04-27 2.336591 5.131627 9.839838 17.764187 30.091987 47.791310 74.229448
2025-05-04 2.107517 4.843521 9.591051 17.763353 30.706077 49.553208 78.039168
2025-05-11 1.782664 4.333232 8.922190 17.038331 30.168376 49.610303 79.403208
2025-05-18 1.578811 4.031612 8.585647 16.828885 30.406750 50.795470 82.400215
2025-05-25 1.369867 3.690440 8.146876 16.413850 30.289988 51.432142 84.595702
2025-06-01 1.217701 3.448018 7.866075 16.246279 30.552508 52.634307 87.637109
2025-06-08 1.055917 3.159956 7.472158 15.851004 30.416616 53.210711 89.745467
2025-06-15 0.964573 3.020799 7.353072 15.935064 31.070171 55.014206 93.727230
2025-06-22 0.867525 2.853333 7.162369 15.873912 31.470444 56.424411 97.134429
2025-06-29 0.802630 2.756368 7.106090 16.055567 32.285518 58.503036 101.600628
2025-07-06 0.742140 2.661724 7.046039 16.223997 33.078976 60.561112 106.071152